外匯新聞摘要 - 黃金苦守1850 (21/11/2020)

 

外匯新聞摘要 - 黃金 21/11/2020

疫苗與病毒賽跑，黃金苦守1850！警惕金價突然崩盤！

 

美國單日新增新冠確診病例再創紀錄，全球疫情也在惡化，令黃金獲得避險支持並守住1850水平。不過，隨着一些藥企成功研製了疫苗，疫情形勢或有望得到緩解。從技術面看，需要小心金價突然跌破1850後的崩盤風險！

全球的疫情形勢也令人擔憂，全球累計新冠確診病例接近5750萬例。過去一個月全球上報的新冠病例，比疫情初期的六個月還要多。這是一場疫苗與病毒的賽跑，目前結果難料。

 不過，近期疫情持續惡化一定程度上提振了黃金的避險需求，令金價頑強守住1850。另外，美元指數近日受壓，也令黃金避免了進一步擴大跌幅。從技術面來看，應警惕金價跌破1850水平後的崩盤風險。下方重要支撐在1850附近，該位置多次為價格提供支持，一旦失守，則不排除行情階段性見頂，恐會加速下跌向1800甚至1765等水平。

(21 / 11 / 2020)

 Source: https://www.dailyfxasia.com/cn/cmarkets/20201121-13686.html

 

 

 Technical analysis - Gold H4 Chart

Blue zone: Supporting level  Red zone: Resistance levels

 

Gold Weekly Price Analysis – November 21

Source: investing.com

When the bulls gain more momentum to break up the dynamic resistance level, the price will test the $1,901 level. The bullish pressure may increase and push the price to penetrate the mentioned level, $1,935, and $1,976 will be tested. The breakdown of the $1,850 will decrease the price to $1,811 and $1,789 levels.

Key levels:

Resistance levels: $1,901, $1,935, $1,976
Support levels: $1,850, $1,811, $1,789

XAUUSD Long-term Trend: Bearish

The bears are in control of the Gold market; this may be due to the strong strength of the dollar. After the sudden fall of gold price on November 09, the bulls have not gained enough momentum to push up the price. An attempt made by the buyers to push up the price on November 13 fails at the dynamic resistance levels. Last week, the sellers prevailed over the bulls and the price retested the $1,850 support level.

The gold price has tested the support level of $1,850 two times this month, and it is trading below the two EMAs as an indication that the bears are prevailing. When the bulls gain more momentum to break up the dynamic resistance level, the price will test the $1,901 level. The bullish pressure may increase and push the price to penetrate the mentioned level, $1,935, and $1,976 will be tested. The breakdown of the $1,850 will decrease the price to $1,811 and $1,789 levels.

XAUUSD Medium-term Trend: Bullish

The bearish momentum is becoming weak as the price is approaching the support level of $1,850. In other words, the bulls may take over the Gold market soon. The price has tested the support level three times and unable to break down the level.

The 9 periods EMA is trying to cross the 21 periods EMA upside and the price is trading slightly above the two EMAs as an indication for bullish movement. The relative strength index pointing up above 50 levels indicate a buy signal. Traders can place Buy Stop at $1,880.86, Stop Loss at $1,845.31, and Take profit at $1,930.16.